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A Real-Time Forecasting Model for Microgrid Energy Management Using Hybrid Load–Solar Prediction and Battery Degradation-Aware Dispatch
Microgrids need real-time energy management that integrates accurate load and solar forecasts with efficient battery dispatch while preserving battery lifetime. Forecast uncertainty can increase unnecessary grid imports, battery cycling, and curtailment when operational decisions rely on single-source prediction. This paper proposes a real-time forecasting and dispatch framework combining a hybrid load–solar prediction model with a degradation-aware battery scheduling strategy. The objective is to improve short-horizon operational decisions while reducing avoidable battery ageing. A hybrid forecasting model uses distinct methods for load and solar components. The dispatch strategy minimises operational cost while incorporating a degradation penalty derived from a cycle-life model. The framework is tested on representative microgrid data against persistence, statistical, and non-degradation dispatch benchmarks. The hybrid forecaster reduces prediction error compared to single-model approaches, and the degradation-aware dispatch extends estimated battery life by 8.6% while maintaining near-optimal economic performance. The framework also reduces unnecessary charge–discharge reversals during periods of volatile photovoltaic output. The integrated real-time system offers a practical, computationally light solution for microgrid operators, balancing cost, accuracy, and battery health. Its design supports deployment in campus, community, and commercial microgrids with limited computational infrastructure.
Journal of Smart Grids, Energy Analytics and Optimization
Original Research | Open access | 20 March 2024 | Article: 5

A Digital-Twin Architecture for Real-Time DER Coordination Using Graph Neural Networks, State Estimation, and Uncertainty-Aware Dispatch
Real-time coordination of distributed energy resources is increasingly complex because distribution grids now operate with high variability, bidirectional power flows, and rapidly changing local constraints. Digital twins, graph neural networks, state estimation, and uncertainty-aware dispatch provide complementary capabilities for managing this complexity. This article proposes a layered digital-twin architecture that combines state estimation, graph neural network analytics, and uncertainty-aware dispatch for real-time DER coordination. The objective is to describe an architecture that is conceptual, modular, and suitable for active distribution network operation. The architecture is designed conceptually, with layers for physical grid mirroring, measurement fusion, topology-aware learning, and robust dispatch. A validation strategy is positioned as a future pathway rather than as an experimental contribution. The proposed architecture modularizes the DER coordination task into interoperable layers with distinct responsibilities and interfaces. Three tables are used to define the architecture layers, applicable GNN functions, and uncertainty-handling mechanisms. The architecture provides a blueprint for next-generation distribution management systems that require real-time observability, learning-based analytics, and robust decision support. It is intended to guide future implementation, simulation, and field validation.
Journal of Smart Grids, Energy Analytics and Optimization
Original Research | Open access | 20 March 2025 | Article: 14

A Cyber-Resilient Decision-Support System for Smart-Grid Dispatch Using Anomaly Detection, Explainable Alerts, and Robust Optimization
Cyber-physical attacks on smart grids can compromise the measurements, forecasts, and control signals used in dispatch. A resilient decision-support system must detect anomalies, explain their operational meaning, and support secure re-dispatch before manipulated data causes unsafe operation. This article proposes a cyber-resilient decision-support system that integrates anomaly detection, explainable alerts, and robust optimization for smart-grid dispatch. The system is designed as an operator-facing architecture rather than a standalone detection model. The system combines machine learning-based anomaly detection, explainable artificial intelligence-driven alert generation, and robust dispatch re-optimization. Validation is structured around false data injection, voltage measurement manipulation, and load manipulation attacks on an IEEE test feeder. The proposed decision-support system identifies cyber-physical anomalies, converts model outputs into actionable explanations, and updates dispatch decisions under attack-induced uncertainty. Compared with non-resilient dispatch and detection-only benchmarks, it reduces unsafe voltage excursions and avoidable line-flow stress. The integrated architecture improves cyber-resilience by connecting detection, explanation, and mitigation in one operational workflow. It supports faster operator interpretation while maintaining dispatch feasibility under uncertain measurements.
Journal of Smart Grids, Energy Analytics and Optimization
Original Research | Open access | 20 September 2025 | Article: 18

A Conceptual Framework for Digital-Twin-Assisted Microgrid Control: Resilience-Oriented Islanding, Renewable Forecast Uncertainty, and Battery Dispatch Recovery
Microgrids are increasingly relied upon to maintain supply during disruptions, but their resilience depends on timely islanding, accurate renewable forecasts, and efficient battery dispatch. Digital twins offer a platform to integrate these functions into a coordinated control environment. Existing microgrid control architectures often treat islanding, forecast uncertainty, and battery recovery as separate problems. An integrated conceptual framework that unifies them within a digital-twin environment is therefore needed. This article proposes a conceptual framework for digital-twin-assisted microgrid control that coordinates resilience-oriented islanding, renewable forecast error handling, and battery dispatch recovery. The framework is intended as a design-oriented contribution rather than an experimental validation. The framework is developed through conceptual synthesis of digital twin architectures, microgrid resilience theory, forecasting uncertainty modeling, and battery storage control. No experiments, simulations, field measurements, or empirical results are reported. The framework describes a multi-layered control architecture that continuously assesses resilience, triggers islanding under forecast uncertainty, and manages battery dispatch for post-islanding recovery. Four tables summarize digital twin functions, forecast error types, control architecture, and resilience indicators. The framework provides a design blueprint for resilient microgrid controllers that leverage digital twins. It can guide future simulation studies, hardware-in-the-loop testing, and field validations.
Journal of Smart Grids, Energy Analytics and Optimization
Original Research | Open access | 20 September 2025 | Article: 20

An Explainable Reinforcement Learning Framework for Demand Response Dispatch Using Customer Flexibility Profiles, Reward Decomposition, and Operator Review
Reinforcement learning can autonomously dispatch demand response actions under changing prices, loads, and grid constraints. However, operator acceptance requires explanations that clarify why specific customers or aggregations are selected. This article presents an explainable reinforcement learning framework for demand response dispatch using customer flexibility profiles, decomposed rewards, and operator review. The objective is to preserve dispatch performance while improving transparency and controllability. The framework combines a profile-aware RL dispatcher, a decomposed reward model, an explanation generator, and a structured operator review protocol. Evaluation is performed through simulation on realistic demand response scenarios with household and flexible-load representations. The proposed explainable RL framework is designed to achieve dispatch performance comparable to black-box RL while providing interpretable action rationales. Operator review is incorporated to approve, reject, or modify dispatch recommendations before execution. The framework bridges autonomous RL control and trustworthy grid-edge operation. It provides an algorithmic blueprint for human-centered demand response dispatch.
Journal of Smart Grids, Energy Analytics and Optimization
Review | Open access | 20 September 2025 | Article: 21

A Critical Review of Generative AI for Smart-Grid Operation: Synthetic Load Profiles, Contingency Simulation, Human-in-the-Loop Dispatch, and Governance Risks
Generative AI, including generative adversarial networks, diffusion models, variational approaches, and large language models, is increasingly being explored for smart-grid operation. Its appeal lies in its ability to create synthetic data, expand scenario sets, and support human operators facing complex and uncertain grid conditions. This review critically examines the state of generative AI in four key smart-grid applications: synthetic load profiles, contingency simulation, human-in-the-loop dispatch, and associated governance risks. It evaluates not only technical capability but also reliability, accountability, privacy, and operational readiness. A critical review of 28 peer-reviewed articles published between 2017 and 2026 is conducted. The selected literature is synthesized across methodological contributions, application domains, evaluation practices, and governance concerns. Generative AI shows promise in creating realistic load data and expanding contingency sets, but reliability, interpretability, and governance frameworks remain underdeveloped. Human-in-the-loop dispatch integration is still nascent, and most studies remain closer to proof-of-concept than operational deployment. While generative AI can enhance grid flexibility, simulation richness, and planning capability, its current maturity is uneven. Substantial research is needed to address technical, ethical, and regulatory challenges before these systems can be responsibly embedded in smart-grid operation.
Journal of Smart Grids, Energy Analytics and Optimization
Review | Open access | 20 March 2026 | Article: 24

A Human-in-the-Loop Optimization Model for Demand Response Dispatch Under Comfort Constraints, Prosumer Preferences, and Low-Carbon Flexibility Signals
Demand response can provide valuable grid flexibility, but its effectiveness depends on respecting consumer comfort, aligning with prosumer preferences, and supporting decarbonization goals through low-carbon signals. Integrating these aspects within a human-in-the-loop optimization framework remains an operational challenge for aggregators managing heterogeneous flexible loads. This article proposes an optimization model that dispatches flexible residential and building-cluster loads while incorporating thermal comfort constraints, prosumer willingness-to-accept, and carbon intensity signals. The framework allows a human operator to review optimized schedules, adjust objective weights, and override selected dispatch decisions before execution. The model is formulated as a mixed-integer linear program with a weighted-sum objective capturing energy cost, carbon emissions, comfort deviations, and preference adherence. A realistic residential-cluster case study with weather-driven thermal dynamics, appliance flexibility, time-varying tariffs, and carbon intensity data validates the model. The proposed dispatch reduces feeder peak demand by 18.6% and carbon emissions by 11.9% relative to a non-carbon-aware baseline while maintaining the comfort violation index below 0.035 degree-hours per occupied interval. Operator overrides occur in 6.8% of dispatch decisions and primarily adjust HVAC curtailment during extreme outdoor-temperature periods and high-price events. The proposed framework offers a practical decision-support tool for demand response aggregators and grid operators. It balances competing operational objectives while retaining human oversight for exceptional comfort, reliability, and participation-risk conditions.
Journal of Smart Grids, Energy Analytics and Optimization
Original Research | Open access | 20 March 2026 | Article: 29