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Comparative Evaluation of Machine Learning Models for Building Power Prediction under Different Data Resolutions
Forecasting electricity usage is essential for boosting operational efficiency and advancing sustainability in buildings. The present work explores how the interval of data acquisition and the choice of modeling technique influence prediction precision for electricity demand in two contrasting building categories: an academic facility providing 15-minute data and an industrial facility providing hourly data. Multiple machine learning algorithms were tested—among them support vector machines (SVMs) with radial and sigmoid kernels, random forests (RFs), and deep neural networks (DNNs)—across various training/validation splits and feature combinations. Findings demonstrate that finer temporal resolution in data collection typically yields better model performance, reflected in lower RMSE, MAPE, and CV metrics, as well as higher R² values. Adding more lagged power consumption variables exerted a considerably stronger beneficial effect on forecast quality than incorporating weather-related variables. Notably, the SVM model equipped with the Radial kernel delivered the most consistent and superior results, proving especially effective at representing intricate nonlinear dependencies. By comparison, the DNN approach, despite acceptable performance on selected measures, exhibited notably higher MAPE values, raising concerns about potential overfitting. Collectively, these observations emphasize the need for deliberate decisions regarding data granularity, predictor variables, and algorithm selection to maximize forecasting reliability and thereby support smarter, more resource-efficient energy management in built environments.
Journal of Smart Grids, Energy Analytics and Optimization
Original Research | Open access | 20 March 2023 | Article: 52

IoT-Enabled Predictive Maintenance for Wind Turbines: Leveraging Machine Learning and Wireless Sensor Networks
Wind power (WP) is a Renewable Energy Source (RES) that has experienced remarkable growth as society continues to seek environmentally friendly energy alternatives. This study primarily explores Predictive Maintenance (PM) of Wind Turbines (WT). It evaluates the potential advantages of Wind Energy (WE) when integrated with the Internet of Things (IoT) and Wireless Sensor Networks (WSN). The research proposes an IoT-WSN framework for PM, structured into three key stages: the initial stage involves data acquisition via sensors; the second stage involves data transmission via an internet connection; and the third stage involves data analytics performed in a cloud computing environment. For PM analytics, this work presents a Predictive Maintenance Convolutional Long Short-Term Memory (PM-C-LSTM) model that integrates the spatial feature-extraction strengths of a Convolutional Neural Network with the time-series modeling capabilities of LSTM networks. The PM-C-LSTM model combines a CNN for spatial pattern detection with LSTM networks for sequential data processing, without compromising the precision of WT-PM. Additionally, a Failure Sample Generator model is incorporated to quantify soft failure and hard failure elements, thereby enhancing the predictive performance of the Machine Learning (ML) approach. The model was deployed on a Wind Farm (WF) on the Qinghai-Tibet Plateau, using data collected over 16 months. Comparative evaluations against several conventional models, based on multiple performance metrics, demonstrate that the PM-C-LSTM model delivers superior PM capabilities. The experimental results suggest that the combined use of IoT and ML has strong potential to advance PM strategies for WT, ultimately contributing to greater efficiency and sustainability in WE production.
Journal of Smart Grids, Energy Analytics and Optimization
Original Research | Open access | 20 September 2023 | Article: 61